Yes position
Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.06
- Potential profit
- $4.06
- User PnL
- -$2.68
Polymarket Trader
Aiuiiukjkjk
0x45cac91afe5f46b3933a603fa4dcab1cc5a2fcc1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.56
- Realized PnL
- -$30.43
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $2.57
- Potential payout
- $2.94
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1.17
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Hyperliquid flips Bybit in SOL Open Interest in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09
No position
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
Yes position
Will Jamaica beat Guadeloupe?
Ends Jun 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Will VVD win the fewest seats in the next Netherlands General Election?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Yoon in jail before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Another state declare a state of emergency over bird flu in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Ohio Revoke Any OSB License Over Event-Contract Activity by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Palisades wildfire spread to Santa Monica by Sunday?
Ends Jan 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Fed rate cut by September 18?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will RC Celta de Vigo win La Liga?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- -$0.21
No position
Will Patrick Mahomes win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.27
No position
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- -$0.28
No position
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Yes position
OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
No position
Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.81
Yes position
Will all remaining Trump cabinet picks be confirmed?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.21
Yes position
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$31.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?No 99.3% 212.27 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No 99.7% 111.22 shares
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?No 99.5% 90.36 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No 99.8% 111.22 shares
- Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?No 99.4% 212.27 shares
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?No 99.6% 90.36 shares
- Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 98.7% 113.89 shares
- Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?No 99.3% 91.08 shares
- Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?No 99.4% 207.24 shares
- Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?No 99.4% 90.54 shares
- Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?No 99.3% 90 shares
- Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?No 99.4% 90.54 shares