Yes position
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
0x45cd...33d4
0x45cd7271b5b09f2f8cd307431ea462d57fa733d4
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $36.37
- Realized PnL
- $201.11
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Leinster win?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.12
- Potential profit
- $47.12
- User PnL
- -$3.11
Yes position
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $1.15
- Potential payout
- $37.64
- Potential profit
- $36.49
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$5.34
Yes position
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $37.03
- Potential profit
- $36.94
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
No position
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.41
- User PnL
- -$1
Daniil Medvedev position
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.82
- Potential profit
- $24.82
- User PnL
- -$2.92
No position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.06
- Potential profit
- $24.06
- User PnL
- -$1.33
Yes position
Will Trump Airport become law this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.1%
- Current value
- $3.52
- Potential payout
- $23.33
- Potential profit
- $19.81
- Multiplier
- 6.62x
- User PnL
- -$3.67
Yes position
Will Ukraine win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $22.22
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $5.44
- Potential payout
- $22.21
- Potential profit
- $16.77
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$2.61
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.39
- Potential profit
- $17.39
- User PnL
- -$7.38
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.6%
- Current value
- $6.62
- Potential payout
- $17.17
- Potential profit
- $10.55
- Multiplier
- 2.59x
- User PnL
- $1.02
Yes position
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Donald Trump visit South Dakota in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $5.93
- Potential payout
- $13.64
- Potential profit
- $7.71
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Australia position
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.61
- Potential profit
- $13.61
- User PnL
- -$3.3
Yes position
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.57
- Potential profit
- $10.57
- User PnL
- -$3.01
Yes position
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.9
No position
Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Y
Yes position
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $9.87
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $7.37
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.81
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.85
Magic position
Magic vs. Lakers
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.36
Bucks position
Heat vs. Bucks
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.56
No position
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.48
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.01
Yes position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.01
Yes position
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.93
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.86
Ducks position
Oilers vs. Ducks
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.59
Yes position
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.9
Golden Knights position
Golden Knights vs. Kings
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3
Yes position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.28
Pelicans position
Warriors vs. Pelicans
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.28
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Raptors
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.88
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.7
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
No position
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.52
Yes position
Will "MONACO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.42
No position
Will MrBeast say "Lock In" during his next video?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.24
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No 79% 1.49 shares
- Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to ScoreNo 62% 1.61 shares
- Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No 2.4% 2.94 shares
- Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No 5.9% 10 shares
- Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No 8.5% 12.94 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 10% 3.07 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 10% 5 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 35.1% 3.28 shares
- Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No 49% 2.04 shares
- Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No 49% 2.41 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Yes 74% 1.5 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Yes 74% 5 shares