Polymarket Trader

m712k

0x45e4d01daadd7bccfad6536d5fdd4bd6ae81e624

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.44
Realized PnL: $4.31
Win rate: 31.3%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $345.56
Potential profit: $345.56
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $29.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $29.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $23.4
Potential profit: $23.27
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.41
Potential profit: $20.41
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $17.9
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $1.39
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.61
Multiplier: 14.39x
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.6
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.68
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.08
Potential profit: $2.08
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.45

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 27?

Yes 8% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 28?

Yes 1.1% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 28?

Yes 6% 3.12 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 27?

Yes 6.9% 11.06 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 27?

Yes 0.3% 25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 27?

Yes 22% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 26?

Yes 93% 8 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 26?

Yes 1% 3.67 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 26?

Yes 1.6% 6.32 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 26?

Yes 2.8% 11.06 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 27?

Yes 4% 25 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 25?

Yes 99.5% 9.43 shares