Polymarket Trader

0x45e6Df48cCF5d1773D509C97052F819690cEC078-1782111207998

0x45e6df48ccf5d1773d509c97052f819690cec078

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $69.41
Realized PnL: $1.1
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by August 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $13.38
Potential payout: $312
Potential profit: $298.62
Multiplier: 23.31x
User PnL: -$1.17

Yes position

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $6.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $43.25
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $0.67
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.33
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Obama arrested before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $28.49
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.4%
Current value: $19.09
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $5.91
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $1.15

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $2.62
Potential payout: $20.97
Potential profit: $18.35
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$1.55

No position

Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $2.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $17.7
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will Donald Trump visit North Dakota in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $19.73
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Pacifica FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $0.57
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.43
Multiplier: 26.32x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $1.73
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $13.28
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $3.07
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $11.93
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $1.18
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $13.82
Multiplier: 12.74x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $2.09
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $12.9
Multiplier: 7.17x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $3.3
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $6.7
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will Andy Biggs win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jul 21, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.86
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.6%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.34
Multiplier: 15.15x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $1.65
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.35
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $1.45
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.55
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.62
Multiplier: 26.32x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $1.75
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.25
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.43
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0010 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $2.9
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.1
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $1.39
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.62
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,250 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 41.5%
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Multiplier: 9.71x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8.8%
Multiplier: 11.43x
User PnL: $0.15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?

No 98.9% 5 shares