Polymarket Trader

Anarcholibertaire

0x45e743899fc09fb79571b1fee7595f5f9ce3b76b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $56.15
Realized PnL: $7.53
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $16.62
Potential payout: $3.69K
Potential profit: $3.68K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$17.31

Yes position

Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $22.04
Potential payout: $2.59K
Potential profit: $2.57K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$15.96

No position

Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.99
Potential profit: $149.99
User PnL: -$10.5

Yes position

Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $17.5
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $2.5
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $14.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.81

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.3%
Multiplier: 2.61x
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.97

Yes position

Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for France by Feburary 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

No 0.2% 14.7 shares
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Yes 57% 31.25 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14% 38.46 shares
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 1.2% 425 shares
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 0.9% 558.89 shares
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 1.4% 723.99 shares
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 1.6% 756.12 shares
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?

No 48% 10.42 shares
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

No 34% 14.71 shares
Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for France by Feburary 1?

Yes 29% 20 shares
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 0.7% 1,385.3 shares
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Yes 16% 31.25 shares