No position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $210.38
- Potential payout
- $275
- Potential profit
- $64.63
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $59.42
Polymarket Trader
changeover
0x45f01285208ac9f2d27680c205b7e944cbd64435
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $219.56
- Realized PnL
- $2.6K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $9.18
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $2.82
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $1.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 5 be greater than 2,300,000?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $521.56
Yes position
Will "Style" be said at the Super Bowl?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $390.54
Yes position
Will Chainlink reach $20 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 18%
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- $293.85
No position
Will Melania say "Department of State" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.08
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 5 be between 2,100,000 and 2,300,000?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.82
No position
Waymo IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $136.57
Yes position
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $113.21
Yes position
SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.07
No position
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win 30-34 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.05
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 4, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $70.4
Southern Jaguars position
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern Jaguars
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.32
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $55.28
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.66
No position
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.49
Yes position
Will Powell say "Speculate" or "Speculation" during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.46
Yes position
Another crypto hack over $100m before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.8
Yes position
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.18
Yes position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $31.88
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.53
No position
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.83
Yes position
US bank failure by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.63
SpaceX position
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.74
No position
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.02
No position
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No 90% 171 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No 90% 180 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No 90% 188 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No 90% 202 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No 90% 215 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No 90% 229 shares
- Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?No 27% 130 shares
- Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?No 54.9% 405 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No 89% 1,422 shares
- Will MFK Karviná win on 2026-04-11?No 12% 463 shares
- Will MFK Karviná win on 2026-04-11?No 12% 541 shares
- Will MFK Karviná win on 2026-04-11?No 12% 124 shares