Polymarket Trader

milliegurule

0x45f524cb49469b65fa585af90158598eb458c16d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $50.72
Realized PnL: $233.29
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$19

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 84.6%
Current value: $50.72
Potential payout: $59.99
Potential profit: $9.27
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $2.23

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$6.8

Yes position

Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.64

No position

Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.15

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.78

No position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.18

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.65

No position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.4

No position

Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.74

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

No position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.26

No position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.98

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.22

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.01

No position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.94

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $3.7

No position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.65

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

No 55% 60 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 21.7% 19.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 99.2% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 48.8% 24.55 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 52% 20 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 67% 44.78 shares
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

No 22% 59.98 shares
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

No 84.7% 30 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

No 81.3% 50.59 shares
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?

No 99.7% 19.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

No 97.3% 149.05 shares
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

No 96.5% 57.19 shares