Polymarket Trader

chemp1mln

0x45fb42d054b70e524f9368b5f76ccd8fef0bf1f6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $22.05K
Realized PnL: $18.37K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $1.51K
Potential payout: $26.48K
Potential profit: $24.97K
Multiplier: 17.54x
User PnL: $23.65

Yes position

Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $511.95
Potential payout: $18.28K
Potential profit: $17.77K
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: -$278.06

Yes position

Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $66.05
Potential payout: $13.21K
Potential profit: $13.14K
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$2.5

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $5.34K
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $6.66K
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $679.15

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $7.18K
Potential payout: $8.81K
Potential profit: $1.63K
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $359.74

Yes position

Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.99K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.5

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.67K
Potential profit: $4.67K
User PnL: -$3.49K

Yes position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $1.57K
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $2.93K
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $347.26

No position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $156.65
Potential payout: $2.98K
Potential profit: $2.83K
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$2.34K

Yes position

Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $7.09
Potential payout: $2.84K
Potential profit: $2.83K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$2.91

No position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $1.39K
Potential payout: $1.87K
Potential profit: $486.83
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: -$173.16

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $651.21
Potential payout: $994.21
Potential profit: $343
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$209.88

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $401.96
Potential payout: $980.39
Potential profit: $578.43
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: -$354.38

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $924.01
Potential payout: $930.99
Potential profit: $6.98
User PnL: $140.83

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $330.61
Potential payout: $710.99
Potential profit: $380.38
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$172.31

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 83.9%
Current value: $596.51
Potential payout: $710.98
Potential profit: $114.47
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$39.77

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 92.2%
Current value: $623.27
Potential payout: $675.99
Potential profit: $52.73
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$3.81

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $556
Potential profit: $556
User PnL: -$384.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $341.99
Potential profit: $341.99
User PnL: -$44.87

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $331.79
Potential payout: $335.99
Potential profit: $4.2
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $17.72

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $5.09
Potential payout: $328.41
Potential profit: $323.32
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$37.23

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $209.96
Potential payout: $232
Potential profit: $22.04
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $43.37

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $227.56
Potential payout: $228.13
Potential profit: $0.57
User PnL: $16.53

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $14.43
Potential payout: $222
Potential profit: $207.57
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$179.81

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.19K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33K

No position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19K

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $667.17

No position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $494.31

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on June 2?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $473.56

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $433.68

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $433.13

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $358.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $347.72

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $343.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $322.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $315.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $307.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $286.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $255.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $241.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $231.66

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $230.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.46

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on June 1?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.36

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Up 99% 3.03 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Up 95% 92.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Up 97% 90.72 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Up 97% 9.28 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Up 96% 9.38 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Up 97% 9.28 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Up 97% 9.28 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Down 24% 12.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Down 17% 17.65 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Down 25% 12 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Down 19% 15.79 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Up 98% 9.18 shares