Polymarket Trader

lexswitz

0x460a2465ceec7e9207077d110736a9464216e696

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $680.51
Realized PnL: $5.05K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.2K
Potential profit: $4.2K
User PnL: -$342

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$1.18K

Down position

SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.85K
Potential profit: $1.85K
User PnL: -$571.02

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $1.36K
User PnL: -$947.28

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$368.69

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $175
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $325
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: -$70

No position

Will USA be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $260.85
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $39.15
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $10.35

Yes position

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $89
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $111
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $13
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $187
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$13

No position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$25

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$74

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.6%
Current value: $93.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $6.45
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $4.55

No position

Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$32

BYU Cougars position

Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougars

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.63
Potential profit: $99.63
User PnL: -$30.88

Yes position

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $24.85
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $45.15
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $6.65

No position

Will Philadelphia 76ers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$22.78

No position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $6.72
Potential payout: $25.83
Potential profit: $19.11
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: -$8.01

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Current value: $9.98
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $0.67
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $7.57
Potential payout: $9.17
Potential profit: $1.61
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$0.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $707.05

No position

Will Microsoft buy TikTok?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $572.98

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $517.01

Ohio State position

Ohio State vs. Texas

Ends Jan 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $351.32

Yes position

US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $316.43

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $275.58

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $242

Georgia position

Texas vs. Georgia

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.83

Yes position

Will Ohio State make the CFP National Championship Game?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.98

Republican position

House control after 2024 election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.6

No position

Will Arch Manning win the Heisman Trophy?

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.04

Warriors position

NBA Playoffs: Rockets vs. Warriors (To Advance)

Ends May 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.05

Florida Gators position

Texas vs. Florida Gators

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130

No position

Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.94

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 91.5%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $118.07

No position

Will Texas win the 2025 College Football Playoff?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.02

Georgia position

Georgia vs. Texas

Ends Dec 14, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112

Yes position

Will Reddit IPO at between $7.5b-10b valuation?

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

No position

Fed rate cut by June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.36

Florida position

Florida vs. Houston

Ends Apr 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96

No position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93

Yes position

Will Trump impose tariffs on Taiwan in the first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78

No position

Will the Texans win the AFC Championship?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?

Yes 50% 20 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?

No 96.4% 60 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?

No 95.2% 60 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

No 59.8% 48.4 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

No 59.9% 107.68 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

No 57.2% 497.23 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

No 57.2% 65 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

No 49% 200 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

No 49.2% 100 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

No 50% 96.87 shares
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Yes 49% 500 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?

No 98.9% 69.96 shares