Polymarket Trader

DassaultFalcon

0x4611e962174189444b05dad233a8c9215a21619f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $91.59
Realized PnL: $509.6
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $91.59
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $1.32K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$93.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.9
Potential profit: $999.9
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $555.56
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $526.32
Potential profit: $526.32
User PnL: -$100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $331.55
Potential profit: $331.55
User PnL: -$9.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $161.56
Potential profit: $161.56
User PnL: -$19.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $154.18
Potential profit: $154.18
User PnL: -$98.67

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$47

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.95
Potential profit: $60.95
User PnL: -$49.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.8
Potential profit: $42.8
User PnL: -$29.66

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.38
Potential profit: $39.38
User PnL: -$19.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.78
Potential profit: $26.78
User PnL: -$19.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.43
Potential profit: $23.43
User PnL: -$19.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $11.9
User PnL: -$9.88

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.12

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.91

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.43

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.35

No position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

Yes position

Will Tim Walz drop out by January 6?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

Up 83% 11.75 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Up 83% 11.75 shares
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Yes 47% 100 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 17% 500 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Yes 99.6% 212.76 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Yes 47% 212.77 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Down 2% 999.81 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Down 70.3% 630.68 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Down 45.8% 423.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Down 49% 197.71 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Up 69.3% 42.31 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Up 79% 62.42 shares