Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.77K
- Potential profit
- $4.77K
- User PnL
- -$54.54
Polymarket Trader
greenbay20
0x4614be1906a04aefcb1031a351a40e73dae51c98
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $70.24
- Realized PnL
- $606.4
- Win rate
- 76.9%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $4.01
- Potential payout
- $668.99
- Potential profit
- $664.98
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$20.74
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$47.21
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $446.12
- Potential profit
- $446.12
- User PnL
- -$102.61
No position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$42
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $5.63
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $244.38
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $0.63
Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$7.75
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$10.67
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $22.5
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $127.5
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $25.2
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $54.8
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$15.6
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68
- Potential profit
- $68
- User PnL
- -$8.16
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $2.2
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $37.8
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$9.66
Yes position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $10.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $9.3
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.38
- Potential profit
- $15.38
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $524.65
Lions position
Lions vs. Texans
Ends Nov 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
Panthers position
Giants vs. Panthers
Ends Nov 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.95
Bills position
Bills vs. Colts
Ends Nov 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.39
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $26.4
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.93
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Multiplier
- 6.43x
- User PnL
- $17.15
Broncos position
Bills vs. Broncos
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.51
Miami position
Miami vs. Ole Miss
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.6
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Commanders position
Steelers vs. Commanders
Ends Nov 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$94.4
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$97.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?Yes 7.5% 120 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 51% 26 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 83% 60 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?Yes 29.6% 40 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 39% 60 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 15.2% 250 shares
- OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes 46% 20 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 14% 150 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes 5.3% 200 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?No 51% 20 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?Yes 12% 68 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?Yes 13% 7.69 shares