Polymarket Trader

xanato

0x46150a6a05a277dc96728cfc9bcbcd5fde318177

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.3
Realized PnL: $2.91
Win rate: 44.4%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.97
Potential profit: $32.97
User PnL: -$10.55

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $3.3
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $6.7
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $3.71

No position

Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 22m?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will "I Will Find You" be the top US Netflix show this week?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will União Brasil (UNIÃO) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 22m?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Multiplier: 8.93x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 70.6%
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$0.54

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026?

Yes 13.6% 15.6 shares
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 73.3% 5 shares
Will União Brasil (UNIÃO) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?

Yes 0.2% 10 shares
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026?

Yes 17% 15.6 shares
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

No 21.6% 5 shares