Polymarket Trader

Amosquito

0x4617b0af706b82b8b71fdf48d8a539aff8f02ced

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $59.25
Realized PnL: $13.86
Win rate: 65%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $59.25
Potential payout: $395
Potential profit: $335.75
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$4.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.59
Potential profit: $27.59
User PnL: -$3.83

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.31
Potential profit: $17.31
User PnL: -$10.73

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.27
Potential profit: $14.27
User PnL: -$1

Rice position

Spread: Texas State (-19.5)

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.79
Potential profit: $13.79
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.57
Potential profit: $8.57
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.21
Potential profit: $7.21
User PnL: -$2.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.74
Potential profit: $2.74
User PnL: -$0.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.12

No position

Will Tunisia win on 2026-01-03?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.51

JD Gaming position

LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66

No position

Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

Under position

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.93

Yes position

Fight to Go the Distance?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

WINNERS position

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs WINNERS - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.46

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.44

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 2, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

Under position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Norrie position

Brisbane International: Cameron Norrie vs Ugo Humbert

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Down position

XRP Up or Down - January 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66.9%
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: -$0.72

WINNERS position

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs WINNERS (BO3)

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.17

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.25

Over position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.73

Humbert position

Brisbane International: Cameron Norrie vs Ugo Humbert

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.77

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Yes 13.9% 26.98 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Yes 13.8% 0.61 shares
Fight to Go the Distance?

Yes 50% 3.84 shares
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

Yes 68.4% 2.8 shares
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

Yes 71.2% 2.81 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Yes 8% 25 shares
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

No 14.9% 93.6 shares
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

No 16.6% 301.4 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Yes 8% 25 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Down 41% 7.1 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Down 7% 14.26 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Up 21% 8.03 shares