Polymarket Trader

gaskan

0x4618ef7a4f644fab4af54f4ec418bd079dea8d41

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $48.87
Realized PnL: $410.06
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $536.41
Potential profit: $536.41
User PnL: -$10.96

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.09
Potential profit: $499.09
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.7%
Current value: $32.79
Potential payout: $259.21
Potential profit: $226.42
Multiplier: 7.91x
User PnL: $22.79

Yes position

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $223.94
Potential profit: $222.94
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$8.99

Yes position

SBF released from custody in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $5.69
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $119.31
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$4.31

Yes position

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 20.2%
Current value: $7.77
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $30.69
Multiplier: 4.95x
User PnL: $6.77

Yes position

Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.34
Potential profit: $29.34
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $25.09
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.79
Potential profit: $20.79
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $18.52
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $18.18
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.67
Potential profit: $11.67
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $0.52
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $10.59
Multiplier: 21.28x
User PnL: -$0.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.28
Potential profit: $7.28
User PnL: -$1.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.33
Potential profit: $6.33
User PnL: -$1.9

No position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.41
Potential profit: $5.41
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $2.68
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$0.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 13.5%
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $370.41

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $36.11

Bigetron by Vitality position

Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 49% 277.77 shares
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

Yes 50.5% 1,724.13 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Up 30% 3 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Up 30% 3 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Down 26% 3.44 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Down 26% 3.44 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 11?

Down 26% 34.36 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Up 8% 10.84 shares
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season

Bigetron by Vitality 22% 4.33 shares
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Yes 9% 11.11 shares
SBF released from custody in 2026?

Yes 8% 125 shares
Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 5.4% 18.52 shares