Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $130.12
- Potential payout
- $130.58
- Potential profit
- $0.46
- User PnL
- $23.11
Polymarket Trader
0x463a...af96
0x463a41ee75aae62fbf2c19d9bdd0133bfec1af96
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $273.18
- Realized PnL
- -$10.14
- Win rate
- 53.3%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C or below on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $92.84
- Potential profit
- $92.7
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C or higher on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.85
- Potential payout
- $65.08
- Potential profit
- $64.23
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $10.01
- Potential payout
- $45.51
- Potential profit
- $35.49
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$2.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $6.24
- Potential payout
- $43.06
- Potential profit
- $36.82
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $40.13
- Potential payout
- $40.15
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $12.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $39.83
- Potential profit
- $39.71
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $36.95
- Potential payout
- $37.06
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- $7.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $33.08
- Potential profit
- $32.1
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $8.26
- Potential payout
- $27.08
- Potential profit
- $18.82
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$3.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.1%
- Current value
- $2.11
- Potential payout
- $23.21
- Potential profit
- $21.1
- Multiplier
- 10.99x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $2.05
- Potential payout
- $21.6
- Potential profit
- $19.55
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$4.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $10.26
- Potential payout
- $18.49
- Potential profit
- $8.23
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$1.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $17.48
- Potential profit
- $17.47
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $16.87
- Potential profit
- $16.86
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $16.45
- Potential profit
- $16.42
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$15.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or below on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $3.66
- Potential payout
- $15.57
- Potential profit
- $11.91
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $1.59
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.3%
- Current value
- $1.37
- Potential payout
- $14.78
- Potential profit
- $13.41
- Multiplier
- 10.81x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $1.7
- Potential payout
- $14.75
- Potential profit
- $13.05
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $3.84
- Potential payout
- $14.49
- Potential profit
- $10.65
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $1.79
- Potential payout
- $13.25
- Potential profit
- $11.46
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $6.12
- Potential payout
- $13.02
- Potential profit
- $6.9
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $11.56
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $5.51
- Potential payout
- $11.85
- Potential profit
- $6.34
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $20.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.97
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.52
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$12.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- -$13.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$24.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 29?Yes 53% 10.3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 1?Yes 34% 4.35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 1?Yes 30% 6.9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 30?Yes 37% 2.7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 29?Yes 17% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 30?Yes 32% 3.88 shares
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 29?Yes 17% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 29?Yes 16.7% 33.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 1?Yes 57% 1.84 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 29?Yes 0.1% 0.55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 29?Yes 0.1% 0.91 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on June 30?Yes 34% 3.76 shares