Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $143.27
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$56.72
Polymarket Trader
Saigonsad
0x4654b824a77cd411a61776fff2b4e15d3e9182f6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $661.96
- Realized PnL
- $561.8
- Win rate
- 95.2%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$190
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $490.2
- Potential profit
- $490.2
- User PnL
- -$200
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 22?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$32
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $322.58
- Potential profit
- $322.58
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $190.91
- Potential payout
- $259.74
- Potential profit
- $68.83
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$9.09
No position
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $205.02
- Potential profit
- $205.02
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $184.63
- Potential profit
- $184.63
- User PnL
- -$11
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $147.06
- Potential profit
- $147.06
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $147.06
- Potential profit
- $147.06
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $99.32
- Potential payout
- $135.14
- Potential profit
- $35.81
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$48
No position
Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$32
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $17.25
- Potential payout
- $83.53
- Potential profit
- $66.28
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- -$11.15
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $81.25
- Potential profit
- $81.25
- User PnL
- -$39
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $10.5
- Potential payout
- $77.78
- Potential profit
- $67.28
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$31.5
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $69.7
- Potential payout
- $73.26
- Potential profit
- $3.55
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $6.7
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $72.06
- Potential profit
- $72.06
- User PnL
- -$49
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $65.13
- Potential payout
- $68.92
- Potential profit
- $3.79
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $14.13
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.8
- Potential profit
- $67.8
- User PnL
- -$40
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $49.85
- Potential payout
- $51.69
- Potential profit
- $1.83
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.85
No position
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $16.03
- Potential payout
- $40.57
- Potential profit
- $24.54
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$11.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-03-08?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
Yes position
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.73
No position
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.43
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.33
No position
Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.86
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.99
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
No position
Will Russia enter Sofiivka by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.6
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.97
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.22
No position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.82
Yes position
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.33
No position
Will Russia enter Borova by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.52
No position
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.22
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.25
No position
Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.68
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27
No position
Will Russia capture Siversk before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Yes position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$23.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?No 77% 259.74 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 17.1% 1,169.59 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 68% 147.06 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 90% 100 shares
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-03-08?Yes 39% 104.47 shares
- Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?No 69% 40.57 shares
- Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?No 48% 100 shares
- Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?No 32% 100 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 63% 100 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No 19% 1,000 shares
- Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?Yes 3.1% 100 shares
- Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?No 74% 135.14 shares