Polymarket Trader

0x465Ad490ed660186BCF663ea43A15145789f6A39-1777265003207

0x465ad490ed660186bcf663ea43a15145789f6a39

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.91K
Realized PnL: $867.5
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $212.4
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $5.79K
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$90.59

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $166.24
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.33K
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: $62.13

Yes position

Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $1.44K
Potential payout: $1.73K
Potential profit: $284.67
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $336.72

Yes position

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $776
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $824
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $223

Yes position

Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $437.9
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $869.26
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $192.61

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $153.12
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$61.87

Yes position

Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $425
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: $35

Yes position

Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $342.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $157.5
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $17.5

Yes position

Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 79.4%
Current value: $305.69
Potential payout: $384.99
Potential profit: $79.31
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$6.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $567.5

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $105.5

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.1

Yes position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.46

No position

Will Extended launch a token by June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.94

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Extended launch a token by June 30 2026?

No 98% 479.44 shares
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?

Yes 85.7% 34.99 shares
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Yes 90.4% 553.33 shares
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Yes 89% 46.56 shares