Inbarfark

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$3

Jefferson Nascimento position

UFC Fight Night: Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento (Welterweight, Prelims)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Belgium to score first vs. Senegal?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Curaçao position

Spread: Curaçao (-2.5)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Manuel Torres position

UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.85
Potential profit: $103.85
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Over position

Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 5.5

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $1.82
Potential payout: $14.57
Potential profit: $12.75
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.49
Potential profit: $14.49
User PnL: -$1

Michel Pereira position

UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $11.76
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $10.53
Potential profit: $8.95
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$0.42

Cabo Verde position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.52
Potential profit: $9.52
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or below on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $1.71
Potential payout: $8.76
Potential profit: $7.05
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.13

Juan Manuel La Serna position

Piracicaba: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Juan Manuel La Serna

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$1

Over position

Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 4.5

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 9.7%
Current value: $0.78
Potential payout: $8.13
Potential profit: $7.35
Multiplier: 10.36x
User PnL: -$1.22

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $2.27
Potential payout: $7.7
Potential profit: $5.43
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$0.04

Detroit Tigers position

Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.28
Potential profit: $7.28
User PnL: -$4

Türkiye position

Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1

Paraguay position

Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $7
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Cloud9 position

LoL: Dplus KIA vs Cloud9 (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.1

Under position

Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.57

France position

Spread: France (-2.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

Over position

Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 4.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.55

Under position

Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7

Over position

Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.45

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.39

Matheus Camilo position

UFC Fight Night: Nazim Sadykhov vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.21

France position

Spread: France (-3.5)

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.01

Up position

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Athletics position

Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88

Yes position

Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-06-27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.83

Yes position

Spain leading at halftime?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.76

Houston Astros position

Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Under position

Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 1.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Philadelphia Phillies position

Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52

Yes position

Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44

Over position

Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3

Inaki Montes position

Plovdiv: Inaki Montes vs Sandro Kopp

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

Under position

O/U 1.5 Rounds