No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $271.93
- Potential payout
- $538.47
- Potential profit
- $266.54
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$8.08
Polymarket Trader
Celebrini71
0x46754ffc1a6c71e93dda161a9cb69cb610a8f679
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $340.92
- Realized PnL
- $31.27
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $9.69
- Potential payout
- $102.04
- Potential profit
- $92.35
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$40.31
No position
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $50.46
- Potential payout
- $90.92
- Potential profit
- $40.46
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $8.67
- Potential payout
- $42.31
- Potential profit
- $33.63
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$2.33
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.17
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.17
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$15.83
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Xabi Alonso out as Real Madrid Manager in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.3
Yes position
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.37
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.13
Y
Yes position
Will Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.89
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$26.09
Yes position
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$28.45
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Multiplier
- 17.86x
- User PnL
- -$30
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.4% 312.5 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 48% 33.33 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?Yes 7% 71.43 shares
- Will Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election?Yes 99.3% 104.63 shares
- Will Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election?Yes 95.6% 104.63 shares
- Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes 11% 217.39 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No 52% 538.46 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No 51% 192.3 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No 52% 192.31 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 72% 108.51 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 47% 108.51 shares
- Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?Yes 1.8% 88.23 shares