Polymarket Trader

0x46763EfE923365323210a6aD2C01dAbCF15d6065-1772195585541

0x46763efe923365323210a6ad2c01dabcf15d6065

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $401.01
Realized PnL: $1.06K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $837.06
Potential profit: $837.06
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $829.35
Potential profit: $829.35
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $4.76
Potential payout: $731.71
Potential profit: $726.95
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$25.24

Yes position

Will Kansas City Royals win the 2026 American League Championship Series?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $3.97
Potential payout: $661.51
Potential profit: $657.54
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$76.03

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $51.47
Potential payout: $411.77
Potential profit: $360.3
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $1.47

Yes position

Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $11.47
Potential payout: $376.13
Potential profit: $364.66
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$3.53

Yes position

Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $125.95
Potential payout: $314.89
Potential profit: $188.93
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: -$74.05

Yes position

Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $60.23
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $167.05
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $10.23

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $25.37
Potential payout: $164.23
Potential profit: $138.85
Multiplier: 6.47x
User PnL: -$4.63

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $20.16
Potential payout: $161.29
Potential profit: $141.13
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$29.84

Yes position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $3.77
Potential payout: $106.38
Potential profit: $102.62
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$46.23

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $44.16
Potential payout: $80.29
Potential profit: $36.13
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: -$5.84

No position

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $49.7
Potential payout: $74.73
Potential profit: $25.04
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.44
Potential profit: $69.44
User PnL: -$50

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $331.99

Yes position

Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.78

No position

Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.17

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.8%
Multiplier: 2.58x
User PnL: $63.77

No position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.71

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.15

No position

Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.75

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.97

No position

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.29

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.48

No position

France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.26

No position

US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.13

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.53

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.62

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in March 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.67

No position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.49

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.28

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.8

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.63

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.52

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $9.05

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.63

Yes position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.38

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.27

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

No 66.9% 74.73 shares
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 62.3% 80.29 shares
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?

Yes 22% 227.27 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 24.3% 324.54 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 5% 200 shares
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Yes 47% 106.38 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.6% 324.54 shares
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?

Yes 4% 376.13 shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Yes 12.1% 411.77 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 90% 135.13 shares
Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?

Yes 18.3% 164.23 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 74% 135.14 shares