Polymarket Trader

0x468218a8e2dfaf7da85bE422bce8b97cDc0B4d40-1774522804970

0x468218a8e2dfaf7da85be422bce8b97cdc0b4d40

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.22K
Realized PnL: $1.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $50
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $99.95K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $29.99K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $26.31K
Potential profit: $25.27K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $582.36

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.75K
Potential profit: $10.75K
User PnL: -$59.98

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $824.46
Potential payout: $6.57K
Potential profit: $5.74K
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $147.08

Yes position

Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.83
Potential payout: $5.67K
Potential profit: $5.66K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.16

Yes position

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $6.25
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.49K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$8.75

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.87K
Potential profit: $1.87K
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $66.08
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.61K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $36.08

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.66K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $185
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $815
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $75

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $909.09
Potential profit: $904.09
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $665.67
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.33
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $351.96
Potential profit: $351.96
User PnL: -$4.19

Yes position

Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $1.97
Potential payout: $187.18
Potential profit: $185.22
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $10.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $89.45
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will Darryn Peterson be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $1.9
Potential payout: $90.46
Potential profit: $88.56
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.5
Potential profit: $87.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Enrique Riquelme win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.26
Potential profit: $87.26
User PnL: -$6.9

Yes position

Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $82.38
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.14
Potential profit: $78.14
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.05

Yes position

Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.87

Yes position

Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or higher on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.45

Yes position

Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: $3.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.67

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Saudi Arabia?

Yes 8% 12.5 shares
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Saudi Arabia?

Yes 6% 16.67 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?

Yes 79% 12.66 shares
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

Yes 0.2% 36.79 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

Yes 0.3% 381.15 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

Yes 1.4% 71.43 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?

Yes 0.2% 87 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?

Yes 0.6% 159.68 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

Yes 3.7% 269.59 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

Yes 3.5% 281.98 shares