Yes position
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
mikeu
0x4685d75e24570a50c11e7aa172d5ed785913fe25
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $51.07
- Realized PnL
- $590.81
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy booster?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $7.37
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $102.63
- Multiplier
- 14.93x
- User PnL
- -$2.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95.21
- Potential profit
- $95.21
- User PnL
- -$3.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $1.71
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $81.62
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$3.29
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $81.97
- Potential profit
- $81.93
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.96
Yes position
Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $58.82
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.98
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.98
Yes position
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $4.11
- Potential payout
- $35.72
- Potential profit
- $31.61
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.89
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $7.83
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $25.5
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$2.17
Yes position
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $7.34
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $23.91
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$2.66
Yes position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $7.08
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $20.69
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$2.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $22.73
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $7.56
- Potential payout
- $21.93
- Potential profit
- $14.37
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$2.44
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.84
- Potential profit
- $16.84
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $7.99
- Potential payout
- $15.08
- Potential profit
- $7.09
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- -$2.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.89
- Potential profit
- $13.89
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.03
Yes position
China-Vietnam trade deal before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.34
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.74
Yes position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.2
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
Yes position
US-China trade deal before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.3
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.15
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.48
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.11
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.69
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 2?Yes 6.1% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 2?Yes 10% 21.54 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 2?Yes 6% 73.94 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 1?Yes 22% 22.73 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 1?Yes 4% 93.96 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 1?Yes 5% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 1?Yes 36% 13.89 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Yes 36% 27.78 shares
- Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?Yes 32% 31.25 shares
- SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?No 66.3% 15.08 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?No 30% 33.33 shares
- Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy booster?Yes 9.1% 110 shares