Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $3.15
- Potential payout
- $629.98
- Potential profit
- $626.83
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.15
Polymarket Trader
0x46920c54110deCDB767F92Dc861c950b530D242C-1761826024513
0x46920c54110decdb767f92dc861c950b530d242c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $454.89
- Realized PnL
- $755.17
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $8.67
- Potential payout
- $422.96
- Potential profit
- $414.29
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $2.68
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.3%
- Current value
- $238.05
- Potential payout
- $316.14
- Potential profit
- $78.09
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $1.55
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $172.39
- Potential payout
- $208.96
- Potential profit
- $36.57
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$4.65
Yes position
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $151.52
- Potential profit
- $151.52
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73
- Potential profit
- $73
- User PnL
- -$6.99
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $32.63
- Potential payout
- $37.5
- Potential profit
- $4.88
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $6.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.38
Yes position
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.87
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.79
Yes position
Will Franco Parisi come in third in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.13
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.69
Yes position
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $23.93
Yes position
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.82
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.8
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.1%
- Multiplier
- 4.16x
- User PnL
- $21.5
No position
Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.45
Yes position
Will Igor Thiago be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.74
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $16.19
Yes position
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.9
Yes position
Will Leo Pereira be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.37
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.22
Yes position
Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate after the May meeting?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.67
No position
Will Richarlison be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.37
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $13.34
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Dual Mandate" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.62
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.6
Yes position
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $10.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?Yes 83.6% 23.77 shares
- Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?Yes 83.6% 14.35 shares
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes 86% 37.5 shares
- Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?Yes 80% 30.84 shares
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes 86% 25 shares
- Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Yes 2.5% 60 shares
- Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Yes 1% 122.48 shares
- Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Yes 2.3% 99.99 shares
- Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Yes 0.4% 120.49 shares
- Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?Yes 1% 629.98 shares
- Will Warsh say "FED" during June Press Conference?Yes 99.9% 4.67 shares
- Will Warsh say "Artificial Intelligence" or "AI" during June Press Conference?Yes 99.3% 25.5 shares