No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $6.93K
- Potential payout
- $7.38K
- Potential profit
- $450.45
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $66.33
Polymarket Trader
anon.1980.123
0x46992d0e547e3822a9c28723f51bfa804ae4e03c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $60.87K
- Realized PnL
- $111.48K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $4.97K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $32.5
- User PnL
- $181.71
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $4.48K
- Potential payout
- $4.59K
- Potential profit
- $107.83
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$30.73
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.05K
- Potential payout
- $4.05K
- Potential profit
- $2.03
- User PnL
- $72.53
No position
Will Trump publicly insult Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $3.4K
- Potential payout
- $3.43K
- Potential profit
- $36.04
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $67.61
No position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $2.9K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $100.57
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $41.43
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $1.5
- User PnL
- $64.59
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.99K
- Potential payout
- $2.99K
- Potential profit
- $1.49
- User PnL
- $63.78
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.78K
- Potential payout
- $2.78K
- Potential profit
- $1.39
- User PnL
- $30.08
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $2.72K
- Potential payout
- $2.77K
- Potential profit
- $45.63
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $130.31
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.36K
- Potential payout
- $2.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.18
- User PnL
- $63.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $2.24K
- Potential payout
- $2.24K
- Potential profit
- $6.73
- User PnL
- $18.26
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $2.1K
- Potential payout
- $2.18K
- Potential profit
- $79.42
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $17.88
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.03K
- Potential payout
- $2.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.01
- User PnL
- $47.29
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 15-21?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.93K
- Potential payout
- $1.95K
- Potential profit
- $13.64
- User PnL
- $44.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.92K
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $0.96
- User PnL
- $48.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.78K
- Potential payout
- $1.78K
- Potential profit
- $0.89
- User PnL
- $43.61
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $1.67K
- Potential payout
- $1.78K
- Potential profit
- $108.49
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$37.82
No position
Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $1.23K
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $18.78
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $1.19K
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $42.02
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $11.72
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $1.2K
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $11.53
- User PnL
- $5.74
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.06K
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- User PnL
- $22.53
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $999.89
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $47.12
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$14.47
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $940.18
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $70.77
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$10.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.71K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.02K
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.35K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.38K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.29K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.23K
Yes position
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-05-04?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.68K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.29K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.24K
No position
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49K
No position
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37K
Yes position
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33K
No position
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12K
Yes position
Will Slovakia vs. Montenegro end in a draw?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03K
No position
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-06-05?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96K
No position
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-05-14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79K
No position
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-02?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37K
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-04-27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
No position
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
No position
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
No position
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
No position
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
$80k position
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
No position
Will Guinea win on 2026-06-04?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Yes position
Will Konyaspor win on 2026-04-27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Alexander Zverev position
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
No position
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-05-04?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
No position
Will Peru win on 2026-06-08?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-04-27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
No position
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Yes position
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-05?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $979.1
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $973.14
Yes position
Will Austria win on 2026-06-01?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $944.81
Yes position
James Comey arrested by April 29?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $921.3
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $920.86
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 25?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $915.76
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 22?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $877.77
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 3?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $874.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 20, 2026?Yes 96.9% 1,047 shares
- Will Trump shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?No 98.7% 686.54 shares
- Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Yes 99.3% 548.53 shares
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNew York Mets 95% 2,500 shares
- Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?No 82% 5,000 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 19?No 98.4% 4,341.86 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 19?No 98.2% 3,198.72 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 19?No 98.5% 1,325.88 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 19?No 97.3% 1,663.48 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 19?No 98.7% 271.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 19?No 99% 299.85 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 18?No 98% 998 shares