Polymarket Trader

0x469Ab6734Ca8e56c61fb09d9B23403c4211aC784-1751120541066

0x469ab6734ca8e56c61fb09d9b23403c4211ac784

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $79.61
Realized PnL: $8.41K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.84K
Potential profit: $24.84K
User PnL: -$3.25K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.21K
Potential profit: $6.21K
User PnL: -$295.8

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.18K
Potential profit: $2.18K
User PnL: -$878.43

Yes position

Will Elon tweet between 480 and 509 times August 29–September 5?

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$12.72

Yes position

Will Elon tweet between 260 and 279 times September 5–12?

Ends Sep 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $859.37
Potential profit: $859.37
User PnL: -$143.51

Yes position

Will Elon tweet between 240 and 259 times September 5–12?

Ends Sep 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $858.51
Potential profit: $858.51
User PnL: -$271.01

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $650
Potential profit: $650
User PnL: -$21.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $538.25
Potential profit: $538.25
User PnL: -$196.89

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $79.61
Potential payout: $354.61
Potential profit: $275
Multiplier: 4.45x
User PnL: -$173.62

Yes position

Will Elon tweet between 280 and 299 times September 5–12?

Ends Sep 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$16.27

Yes position

Will Apple launch a new Apple TV on September 9?

Ends Sep 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199
Potential profit: $199
User PnL: -$53.43

Yes position

Will Apple launch a HomePod on September 9?

Ends Sep 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $198
Potential profit: $198
User PnL: -$53.46

Yes position

Will Apple launch an AirTag on September 9?

Ends Sep 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $190
Potential profit: $190
User PnL: -$67.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73K

Yes position

Fed rate cut in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $662.99

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?

Ends Sep 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $622.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $510

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $353.9

No position

US forces in Venezuela by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250.05

Yes position

Will Elon tweet between 450 and 479 times August 29–September 5?

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $236.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.92

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.26

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.28

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195.51

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.01

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4200 in July?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.5

No position

Will Elon tweet between 420 and 449 times August 29–September 5?

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.67

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.82

Yes position

Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.14

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 12?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $79.97

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.6

No position

US forces in Venezuela by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.95

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.31

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.99

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

No 86% 300 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 62% 235 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 89.9% 119.61 shares
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Yes 97.4% 522 shares
US strike on Mexico by January 31?

No 99.9% 500 shares
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?

No 95.4% 60 shares
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?

Yes 98.9% 50.62 shares
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?

Yes 95% 226.17 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

No 99.6% 1,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

No 99.8% 374.58 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

No 99.8% 1,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

No 99.7% 333.34 shares