No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $466.89
- Potential payout
- $473.76
- Potential profit
- $6.87
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Polymarket Trader
civdy
0x469c01fa0d4577b6d5f4149e8b3519b90782d2ca
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $832.68
- Realized PnL
- $458.69
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $171.74
- Potential payout
- $172
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $141.38
- Potential payout
- $149.37
- Potential profit
- $7.99
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.46
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $52.67
- Potential payout
- $58.2
- Potential profit
- $5.53
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.68
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $80.93
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.35
No position
Crude Oil all time high by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.32
Heat position
Nets vs. Heat
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.11
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.5
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.56
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $18.63
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.47
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.41
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.62
No position
Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.66
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $122k November 3-9?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
No position
Will Solana dip to $20 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on November 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.71
No position
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on October 28?
Ends Oct 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 98.6% 473.76 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No 93% 149.37 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?No 99.6% 172 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 98.7% 172.41 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No 87% 58.2 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 96.6% 500 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 82.6% 859.15 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 96.7% 108 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 74.4% 861.89 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?No 98.5% 740 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?No 99.8% 730.83 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?No 99.8% 604.54 shares