Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.41
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Polymarket Trader
Serenehaze
0x46ca187f4111a48d9ab5d442de558e42196e9be1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.77
- Realized PnL
- $6.05
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $17.77
- Potential payout
- $23.38
- Potential profit
- $5.61
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.92
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.7%
- Multiplier
- 5.09x
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 77% 23.38 shares
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to ScoreYes 49% 2,122.45 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.7% 880.68 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.6% 880.69 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 84.2% 125 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 84% 125 shares
- Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes 74% 18.92 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Yes 3.2% 29.41 shares