Polymarket Trader

0x46cE2CE7aDC4786092c7DDCEE6d889F67Ee5352c-1768768875061

0x46ce2ce7adc4786092c7ddcee6d889f67ee5352c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $29.14
Realized PnL: $274.96
Win rate: 89.5%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67K
Potential profit: $6.67K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.81K
Potential profit: $5.81K
User PnL: -$69.71

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.17K
Potential profit: $3.17K
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $16.2
Potential payout: $1.91K
Potential profit: $1.89K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$53.86

Yes position

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $1.53K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $780.63
Potential profit: $780.63
User PnL: -$97

Yes position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $457.52
Potential profit: $457.52
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $416.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $416.67
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $244.56
Potential profit: $244.56
User PnL: -$81.5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $239.48
Potential profit: $239.48
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $188.77
Potential profit: $188.77
User PnL: -$20.58

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $8.85
Potential payout: $153.85
Potential profit: $145
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$11.15

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $117.65
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will CF América win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93.02
Potential profit: $93.02
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $4.09
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $86.82
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$5.91

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.52
Potential profit: $64.52
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.88
Potential profit: $37.88
User PnL: -$10

Bitcoin position

Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.75
Potential profit: $31.75
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $30.3
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$21

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.67

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.94

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.61

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.84

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.28

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.27

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.67

Rams position

Rams vs. Bears

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.91

Yes position

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.79

Yes position

Will Epstein Data Set 9 be released before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.24

Yellow Submarine position

Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs alohasquad (BO3) - EPL Championship Playoffs

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.66

Patriots position

Texans vs. Patriots

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.17

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.95

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,700 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.68

MIBR position

Counter-Strike: Sharks vs MIBR - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52

Yes position

Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$30.3

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$280.18

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 77% 363.87 shares
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

Yes 0.7% 1,525 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 3.8% 526.32 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 13% 153.85 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.3% 5,000 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 3.8% 789.47 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 3.4% 295 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 3.4% 295 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 2.9% 400 shares
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 38.8% 100 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 4.1% 310 shares
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 69.1% 100 shares