Polymarket Trader

0x46D5Bf9756DDd4447dA3F0E501024F96Cd171B8a-1764166619961

0x46d5bf9756ddd4447da3f0e501024f96cd171b8a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.55
Realized PnL: $64.84
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or below on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $319.99
Potential profit: $319.99
User PnL: -$0.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.3
Potential profit: $19.3
User PnL: -$9.84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.49
Potential profit: $18.49
User PnL: -$9.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.7
Potential profit: $13.7
User PnL: -$4.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.44
Potential profit: $12.44
User PnL: -$1.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $1.55
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.45
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.84
Potential profit: $9.84
User PnL: -$4.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.12
Potential profit: $9.12
User PnL: -$4.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$2.88

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.37
Potential profit: $5.37
User PnL: -$2.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.02
Potential profit: $4.02
User PnL: -$1.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.77
Potential profit: $3.77
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.94
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.28
Potential profit: $2.28
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.64
Potential profit: $1.64
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.26

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $20.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.77

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 22?

Yes 75.6% 13.35 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 22?

Yes 99.8% 30.3 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 22?

Yes 33% 30.3 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Up 55% 5.45 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Up 66% 9.09 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Down 39% 7.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Down 64% 11.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Down 54% 11.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Down 44% 14.63 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Down 41% 14.63 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Down 13% 6 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Down 50% 6 shares