No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $6.12K
- Potential payout
- $6.19K
- Potential profit
- $64.98
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $296.34
Polymarket Trader
0x46E29dcb9cD03B9f39bf5Bf7759b07ea280EF
0x46e29dcb9cd03b9f39bf5bf7759b07ea280ef8bb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $26.7K
- Realized PnL
- $24.64K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $6.05K
- Potential payout
- $6.06K
- Potential profit
- $15.15
- User PnL
- $198.39
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $5.54K
- Potential payout
- $5.9K
- Potential profit
- $353.76
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $291.67
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $4.27K
- Potential payout
- $5.05K
- Potential profit
- $782.75
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $933.46
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $3.6K
- Potential payout
- $3.7K
- Potential profit
- $96.13
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $153.99
Yes position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $553.92
- Potential payout
- $671.42
- Potential profit
- $117.5
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $11.21
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $453
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $147
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $117
N
No position
Will Elon Musk attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $112.9
- Potential payout
- $113.75
- Potential profit
- $0.85
- User PnL
- $0.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bahrain vs. Syria end in a draw?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.49K
Yes position
Will Bahrain win on 2026-06-09?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.96K
Yes position
Will Syria win on 2026-06-09?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.25K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.92K
Yes position
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $871.49
No position
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be 2.6%?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $842.23
No position
Iran leadership change by March 13?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $648.62
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $639.41
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $618.93
Lynn Vision position
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs TYLOO (BO5) - Yuqilin Pinnacle of Battle Playoffs
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $606.41
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $600.08
No position
Will Lebron announce he's retiring Tuesday?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $571.1
No position
Military action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $556.34
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $440.04
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $422.17
Yes position
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≥2.7%?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $421.6
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $405.26
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $404.33
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.6%
- Multiplier
- 2.40x
- User PnL
- $376.61
Yes position
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 61m?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $369.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 83.1% 200 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 38.3% 368.51 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 35.3% 138.78 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 59.9% 77.8 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 56.7% 368.68 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 51.1% 166.25 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?No 95% 690.59 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?No 95% 500 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 21% 375.64 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 21% 1,016.82 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 35.6% 751.28 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 16% 1,000 shares