Yes position
Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Australian Open?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $402.38
- Potential profit
- $402.38
- User PnL
- -$1.21
Polymarket Trader
ballot6
0x46e9fb8891217c12ac745e9ad3becbdb37da1226
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $369.62
- Realized PnL
- $324.93
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $193.91
- Potential payout
- $355.79
- Potential profit
- $161.89
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $150.57
Yes position
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.44
- Potential payout
- $294.03
- Potential profit
- $293.59
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.95
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $1.95
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.05
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $2.65
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $47.35
- Multiplier
- 18.87x
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $1.97
- Potential payout
- $36.85
- Potential profit
- $34.88
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$3.19
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $29.93
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $24.79
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $23.98
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $20.79
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $1.21
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $20.13
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $1.87
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $19.99
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $14.06
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $11.91
- Potential payout
- $11.91
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 31.4%
- Current value
- $3.14
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $6.86
- Multiplier
- 3.18x
- User PnL
- -$4.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94
No position
Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.06
Yes position
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.93
Yes position
Will 7-8 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.36
Vance position
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.44
Usman position
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley
Ends Jun 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.6
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.43
No position
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.4
Yes position
Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.9
No position
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.84
Gane position
Aspinall vs. Gane
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $4.51
No position
Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.49
Kamala position
Who will gain more in polls after the debate?
Ends Sep 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09
No position
Will South Korea move its capital to Sejong in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.84
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
Yes position
US x China tariff agreement by November 10?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
No position
Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 10-16?
Ends Jun 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Will Trump win no swing states?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.5% 200 shares
- Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.5% 94.03 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.3% 11.91 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 91% 15 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 99.5% 30 shares
- Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 98.1% 25 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 95.5% 20 shares
- Crude Oil all time high by March 31?No 96.9% 22.3 shares
- Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?No 99.6% 47.59 shares
- Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?No 98% 24 shares
- US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?Yes 97.3% 15 shares
- Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No 95.5% 23 shares