Polymarket Trader

KaraBall1519

0x46f5845c3f2fb6e4aa5fe545f2188b94fcd2b461

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $268.94
Realized PnL: $1.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $679
Potential profit: $679
User PnL: -$243.08

Yes position

Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $471
Potential profit: $471
User PnL: -$164.85

No position

Will Joachim Trier be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $443
Potential profit: $443
User PnL: -$124.04

Yes position

Will Blue Prince win Most Innovative Gameplay in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $417
Potential profit: $417
User PnL: -$60.47

Yes position

Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $123.9
Potential payout: $354
Potential profit: $230.1
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: -$148.68

No position

Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175
Potential profit: $175
User PnL: -$15.75

Yes position

Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 50.2%
Current value: $81.83
Potential payout: $163
Potential profit: $81.17
Multiplier: 1.99x
User PnL: -$50.86

No position

Will Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $144
Potential profit: $144
User PnL: -$128.16

Yes position

Will Luís Marques Mendes win between 16% and 18% of votes in the first round?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112
Potential profit: $112
User PnL: -$25.76

Yes position

Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.78
Potential payout: $92
Potential profit: $91.22
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$22.22

No position

Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84
Potential profit: $84
User PnL: -$12.6

Yes position

Will André Ventura win the first round by 2–4%?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69
Potential profit: $69
User PnL: -$16.56

No position

Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $62.43
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $2.57
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $7.25

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59
Potential profit: $59
User PnL: -$1.12

Yes position

Will Oregon and Miami win their 2026 CFP semifinal games?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$18.5

Yes position

Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37
Potential profit: $37
User PnL: -$27.38

No position

Will Alabama make the College Football Playoff?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.51
Potential profit: $25.51
User PnL: -$0.79

No position

Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $14
User PnL: -$3.22

Yes position

Will 0xUnihax0r win the Defi App trading competition?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9
Potential profit: $9
User PnL: -$1.44

Yes position

Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.2

No position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$0.52

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$0.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $218.16

No position

Will Hannah Einbinder (Hacks) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.48

Yes position

Will the Philadelphia Eagles be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.25

Yes position

Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.6

Yes position

Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.73

Yes position

Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 17%
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: $43.44

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.93

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be less than 34%?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.33

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $36.78

Yes position

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Metropolitan Division?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.63

No position

Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $35.36

Yes position

No one announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $32.36

Yes position

Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.78

Yes position

Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: $30.78

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 7, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.8

No position

Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 93m and 101m?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.88

No position

Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.54

Yes position

Anduril IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $27.02

Yes position

Will Mike Kafka be fired by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.2

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.24

Yes position

Will Tramell Tillman (Severance) win Best Supporting Actor – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.28

No position

Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $23.04

Yes position

Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $22.8

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 44%
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $19.71

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?

No 81% 39 shares
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?

No 81% 93 shares
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?

No 81% 91 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition

No 14% 16 shares
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Metropolitan Division?

Yes 86% 38 shares
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

No 69% 228 shares
Will Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?

No 86% 285 shares
Will Hannah Einbinder (Hacks) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?

No 78% 584 shares
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

No 52.9% 228 shares
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

No 35.8% 679 shares
Will Leavitt say "Obamacare" during the next White House press briefing?

No 82% 548 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition

No 20% 20 shares