Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $26.05
- Potential payout
- $694.76
- Potential profit
- $668.71
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- -$19.95
Polymarket Trader
0x46FA8305951524C104fC630A1D9292f9c500c247-1768127918349
0x46fa8305951524c104fc630a1d9292f9c500c247
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $97.48
- Realized PnL
- $353.6
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $15.53
- Potential payout
- $252.53
- Potential profit
- $236.99
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- -$9.47
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$22
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $4.39
- Potential payout
- $135.14
- Potential profit
- $130.74
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.61
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $93.5
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Germany position
Spread: Germany (-1.5)
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.18
- Potential profit
- $74.18
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $45
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $17.5
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $0
Germany position
Spread: Germany (-2.5)
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$10
Netherlands position
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $47.62
- User PnL
- -$10
Norway position
Spread: Norway (-1.5)
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Germany position
Spread: Germany (-2.5)
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $38.46
- User PnL
- -$10
Portugal position
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $38.46
- User PnL
- -$10
Argentina position
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.09
- Potential profit
- $34.09
- User PnL
- -$15
Brazil position
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $32.26
- User PnL
- -$10
Canada position
Spread: Canada (-1.5)
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $31.25
- User PnL
- -$10
England position
Spread: England (-1.5)
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.61
- Potential profit
- $30.61
- User PnL
- -$15
Morocco position
Spread: Morocco (-2.5)
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$10
Uruguay position
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.81
- User PnL
- -$10
Croatia position
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.81
- User PnL
- -$10
Belgium position
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $22.73
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $20.83
- User PnL
- -$10
Uruguay position
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$8.2
Belgium position
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$7.4
Yes position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $18.52
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Spain position
Spread: Spain (-2.5)
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.07
France position
Spread: France (-1.5)
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.31
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.45
Brazil position
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.48
Japan position
Spread: Japan (-2.5)
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.81
United States position
Spread: United States (-1.5)
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.61
France position
Spread: France (-1.5)
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.04
Argentina position
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.32
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.71
Portugal position
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.64
Bosnia and Herzegovina position
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.28
Belgium position
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.77
Netherlands position
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.63
Spain position
Spread: Spain (-2.5)
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.41
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.61
Brazil position
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.87
Germany position
Spread: Germany (-2.5)
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.57
France position
Spread: France (-2.5)
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.52
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.24
Japan position
Spread: Japan (-1.5)
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.63
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.34
England position
Spread: England (-1.5)
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15
Y
Yes position
United States to score first vs. Australia?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.7% 135.14 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?30.9% 15.83 shares
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Spain 27% 37.04 shares
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Spain 27% 37.04 shares
- Spread: United States (-1.5)United States 46% 32.61 shares
- Spread: England (-1.5)England 49% 30.61 shares
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5) AND Spread: England (-1.5) AND Spread: United States (-1.5)5.6% 51.96 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?Yes 44% 45.45 shares
- Spread: France (-1.5)France 54% 37.04 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes 56% 35.71 shares
- Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals AND Brazil to score first vs. Japan? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? AND Brazil leading at halftime?20% 48.8 shares
- Spread: Norway (-1.5)Norway 24% 41.67 shares