No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $214.02
- Potential payout
- $324.28
- Potential profit
- $110.26
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $59.03
Polymarket Trader
randomnamegenerator
0x46fe2e766b06499ce0dfb443f2b9ebfa0ae6f970
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $578.21
- Realized PnL
- $877.3
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $139.12
- Potential payout
- $189.28
- Potential profit
- $50.16
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $40.02
No position
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $85.1
- Potential payout
- $179.15
- Potential profit
- $94.05
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $21.1
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $11.52
- Potential payout
- $144.93
- Potential profit
- $133.41
- Multiplier
- 12.58x
- User PnL
- $1.52
No position
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Current value
- $3.5
- Potential payout
- $79.55
- Potential profit
- $76.05
- Multiplier
- 22.73x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $3.81
- Potential payout
- $77.76
- Potential profit
- $73.95
- Multiplier
- 20.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $22.64
- Potential payout
- $66.59
- Potential profit
- $43.95
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- $6.15
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $60.35
- Potential payout
- $63.19
- Potential profit
- $2.84
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $5.69
No position
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $15.38
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $9.63
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$4.63
No position
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.65
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $5.51
- Potential payout
- $7.25
- Potential profit
- $1.74
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $1.04
- Potential payout
- $6.92
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.3%
- Current value
- $4.6
- Potential payout
- $5.66
- Potential profit
- $1.06
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $0.56
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $4.15
- Multiplier
- 21.51x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $2.22
- Potential profit
- $0.97
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.1%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $1.68
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1.54
- Potential profit
- $0.55
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $0.8
- Potential payout
- $1.28
- Potential profit
- $0.48
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $1.14
- Potential payout
- $1.19
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $0.85
- Potential payout
- $1.1
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.27
No position
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.36
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.38
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.45
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.33
No position
Another US bank failure by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.21
No position
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.68
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.08
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.87
No position
Another US bank failure by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.54
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.91
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.08
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.74
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.99
Yes position
Will Finland record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.55
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.81
Norway position
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.79
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.57
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.08
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.01
No position
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 7?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.33
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.86
No position
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.39
No position
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 24-27, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?No 29% 28.9 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?No 60% 50 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No 95% 40.4 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 9?No 42.6% 58.75 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?No 60% 50.17 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No 94% 58.27 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 9?No 40.8% 9.81 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?No 60% 16.67 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 9?No 40% 50 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 7?No 98% 35.03 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?No 28% 3.61 shares
- Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No 45% 2.17 shares