Up position
XRP Up or Down - November 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $5.26
- User PnL
- -$5.21
Polymarket Trader
0x4702...4318
0x47029eb6b617a78134ff1f2c57b58f3abf8a4318
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $37.01
- Realized PnL
- $2.9
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8PM ET
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.06
- Potential profit
- $5.06
- User PnL
- -$4.96
Yes position
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 13.2%
- Current value
- $0.64
- Potential payout
- $4.83
- Potential profit
- $4.19
- Multiplier
- 7.58x
- User PnL
- -$4.18
No position
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 85.7%
- Current value
- $4.13
- Potential payout
- $4.82
- Potential profit
- $0.69
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
No position
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $4.56
- Potential payout
- $4.82
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
No position
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 91.6%
- Current value
- $4.42
- Potential payout
- $4.82
- Potential profit
- $0.41
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $4.66
- Potential payout
- $4.82
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $4.71
- Potential payout
- $4.82
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $4.65
- Potential payout
- $4.82
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will Antonio Maíllo be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $4.68
- Potential payout
- $4.72
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- -$0.04
N
No position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $4.55
- Potential payout
- $4.7
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Puerto Rico win Miss Universe 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 157m?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Ghazl El Mahalla SC win on 2026-05-07?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Up position
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on November 26?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will “Frankenstein” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Jeannette Jara win between 20% and 24% of votes in the first round?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 5PM ET
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will ENPPI win on 2026-05-01?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Microsoft (MSFT) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of December 29?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on November 6?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Jara win by at least 15%?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
25bps cut position
Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?
Ends Nov 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will France win Miss Universe 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Kast win by 0-3%?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will another person win the first round?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will "The Death of Robin Hood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?No 99.9% 4.61 shares
- Will "The Death of Robin Hood" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?Yes 99.9% 4.61 shares
- Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?No 98.6% 4.7 shares
- Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 23 be at least 100?No 99.9% 4.74 shares
- Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?No 99.8% 4.74 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?No 99.9% 4.72 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?No 99.4% 4.75 shares
- Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 Week of June 8 2026?No 99.9% 4.72 shares
- Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May?No 97.9% 4.82 shares
- Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%?No 99.9% 4.74 shares
- Will Core CPI MoM be -0.3% or less in May?No 99.9% 4.73 shares
- Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% or less in May?No 99.9% 0.32 shares