No position
Will Beth Davidson be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $254.75
- Potential payout
- $322.47
- Potential profit
- $67.72
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$32.25
Polymarket Trader
AllyouneedisClaude
0x47084c8677adbbe81b42036d6095ccb190da9580
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $642.08
- Realized PnL
- $444.11
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "History" during the England vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $214.49
- Potential payout
- $243.74
- Potential profit
- $29.25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$12.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.2%
- Current value
- $150.89
- Potential payout
- $188.26
- Potential profit
- $37.37
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$24.19
4ikibamboni position
Dota 2: THE VISION vs 4ikibamboni - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95.1
- Potential profit
- $95.1
- User PnL
- -$4.76
No position
Will Starmer say "Victim" during the next PMQ?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $19.63
- Potential payout
- $40.9
- Potential profit
- $21.27
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$17.19
No position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.29
- Potential profit
- $11.29
- User PnL
- -$0.45
MOUZ position
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.33
- Potential profit
- $7.33
- User PnL
- -$0.37
No position
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.06
- Potential profit
- $6.06
- User PnL
- -$0.24
N
No position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $2.31
- Potential payout
- $2.47
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
FURIA position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $258.81
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $64.37
Team Falcons position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.15
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $14.29
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.76
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.45
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.01
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.98
No position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.71
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.69
Team Falcons position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.9
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.57
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
No position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27
Yes position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $2.04
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.82
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.52
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 23?Yes 94% 36.76 shares
- Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?Yes 92.6% 1.87 shares
- Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?Yes 92.6% 186.65 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 23?Up 5% 2.91 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 23?Up 5% 290.47 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 23?Up 6% 0.91 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 23?Up 6% 90.17 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 23?Down 90% 1.95 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 23?Down 90% 194.04 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 23?No 7% 46.53 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?No 94% 1.14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 23?Yes 88.4% 16 shares