Polymarket Trader

ChaseR

0x47090d99948c5a3cdf417573092a5b19ced2fb48

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.01K
Realized PnL: $11.58K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $67.5
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.18K
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: $23.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 9.2%
Current value: $207
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.04K
Multiplier: 10.87x
User PnL: $162.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $146.25
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.1K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $102.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.25K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$42.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $176.63
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.07K
Multiplier: 12.74x
User PnL: $132.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $145.13
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.1K
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: $101.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $105.75
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.14K
Multiplier: 21.28x
User PnL: $61.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $117
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.13K
Multiplier: 19.23x
User PnL: $72.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $85.5
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.16K
Multiplier: 26.32x
User PnL: $41.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $119.25
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.13K
Multiplier: 18.87x
User PnL: $75.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $33.75
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.22K
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$10.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 680-719 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $120.38
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.13K
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $76.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $123.75
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.13K
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: $79.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $78.75
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.17K
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: $34.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $25.88
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.22K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$18.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $47.25
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.2K
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: $3.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 9.3%
Current value: $208.13
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.04K
Multiplier: 10.81x
User PnL: $164.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $39.38
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.21K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$4.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $29.25
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.22K
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$14.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.25K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$42.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.25K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$42.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $54
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.2K
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: $9.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $74.46
Potential payout: $1.89K
Potential profit: $1.81K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $37.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.79
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $1.58K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$30.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in March 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in January 2026?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in December 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $637.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $434.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $392.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $385.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $353.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $275.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $274.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $267.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $255.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $241.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.39

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 99.8% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in July 2026?

Yes 3.9% 6.38 shares
Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in July 2026?

Yes 3.9% 23.16 shares
Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in July 2026?

Yes 3.9% 18.96 shares
Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in July 2026?

Yes 3.9% 21.09 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 99.4% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 94.2% 15 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 94.1% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 96.6% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 91% 40 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 92% 15 shares
Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in June 2026?

No 98.2% 60 shares