Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $1.75K
- Potential payout
- $3.69K
- Potential profit
- $1.94K
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$247.26
Polymarket Trader
mlemnonny124
0x47127cb8d8b55a7c1e7eddd6d38dc32e663b29dd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.11K
- Realized PnL
- $16.37K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $359.73
- Potential payout
- $2.88K
- Potential profit
- $2.52K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.64K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.14K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53K
Yes position
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $560.17
Dominican Rep. position
First Round Pool D: Venezuela vs. Dominican Rep.
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $501.94
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $492.85
Venezuela position
Final Stage: Italy vs. Venezuela
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $487.61
South Korea position
First Round Pool C: Australia vs. South Korea
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $408.45
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $384.54
Canada position
First Round Pool A: Cuba vs. Canada
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $293.4
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245.75
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.52
Yes position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $125.71
Canada position
First Round Pool A: Puerto Rico vs. Canada
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.42
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.44
Dominican Rep. position
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. South Korea
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.27
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.01
No position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.06
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.61
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.87
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.91
USA position
Final Stage: Canada vs. USA
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.12
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.35
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes 68.9% 1,450.96 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 54.4% 1,838.02 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 54% 1,851.94 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes 70.1% 1,426.91 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 99.9% 3,631.16 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 89.3% 3,631.17 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 40% 9,303.43 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 40.9% 13,640.05 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 37.5% 14,878.21 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 55.2% 1,550.9 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes 17.1% 5,000 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 49.9% 1,737.16 shares