No position
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $33.3
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $1.7
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$1.59
Polymarket Trader
Broadcom
0x471e6de574080e945f1f248c4adb53574dc75ff1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $33.3
- Realized PnL
- $7.49
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Will Israel strike Syria on July 23?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Xi Jinping out before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will TikTok be banned before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Grok 4.20 released by April 20?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
N
No position
Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $340b on August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 485 million subscribers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $125 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 21, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Moonshot have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Tesla name a new CEO before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of February 9 above $1.50?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No 99.7% 35 shares
- Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?No 99.9% 55 shares
- Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?Yes 99.5% 97.98 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?No 98% 15 shares
- Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $125 in May?No 99.9% 79 shares
- Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?No 99.4% 71 shares
- Will MrBeast hit 485 million subscribers by June 30?Yes 99.9% 111 shares
- Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?No 99.9% 67 shares
- Will Moonshot have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?No 99.9% 66.99 shares
- EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 99.9% 87 shares
- Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes 97.7% 42.8 shares
- Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of February 9 above $1.50?Yes 99.9% 54.5 shares