Polymarket Trader

Miracle007

0x4728d8377019661b41a2fdca0da55c1dd1e06426

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $237.45K
Realized PnL: $112.33K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 84.3%
Current value: $84.25K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $15.75K
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $34.25K

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.8%
Current value: $15.75K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $84.25K
Multiplier: 6.35x
User PnL: -$34.25K

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $12.38K
Potential payout: $34.87K
Potential profit: $22.49K
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$2.61K

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $18.76K
Potential payout: $33.8K
Potential profit: $15.04K
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $187.82

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.98K
Potential profit: $31.98K
User PnL: -$1.19K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $20.89K
Potential payout: $26.96K
Potential profit: $6.07K
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$1.08K

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.27K
Potential profit: $22.27K
User PnL: -$690.36

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $18.36K
Potential payout: $22.25K
Potential profit: $3.89K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $1K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $16.1K
Potential payout: $16.71K
Potential profit: $609.75
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $314.85

No position

Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.51K
Potential profit: $16.51K
User PnL: -$7.52K

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $15.79K
Potential payout: $15.83K
Potential profit: $39.56
User PnL: $1.63K

No position

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.45K
Potential profit: $13.45K
User PnL: -$8.44K

Yes position

US strike on Mexico by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.98K
Potential profit: $11.98K
User PnL: -$25.88

Yes position

Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.93K
Potential profit: $11.93K
User PnL: -$49.14

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.83K
Potential profit: $10.83K
User PnL: -$8.46K

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.6K
Potential profit: $10.6K
User PnL: -$7.84K

Yes position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $6.4K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $3.6K
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: -$800

No position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $9.94K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: $1.19K

Yes position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $9.95K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $45
User PnL: $1.35K

No position

Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.47K
Potential profit: $9.47K
User PnL: -$1.68K

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.37K
Potential profit: $9.37K
User PnL: -$3K

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.26K
Potential profit: $9.26K
User PnL: -$4.87K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $8.88K
Potential payout: $8.89K
Potential profit: $4.44
User PnL: $4K

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.62K
Potential profit: $7.62K
User PnL: -$3.92K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.2K

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.93K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.79K

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.68K

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.29K

Yes position

Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.6K

No position

Will Donald Trump say "Trump Reciprocal Trade Act" during his North Carolina speech?

Ends Sep 25, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.5K

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.71K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.69K

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.54K

No position

Will Kamala Harris say "Joy" during DNC speech?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.64K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.53K

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.27K

No position

Will Kamala Harris say "black" 3 or more times during Oprah livestream?

Ends Sep 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.11K

No position

Will Trump say "Reserve" during the X space?

Ends Sep 16, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.08K

No position

Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.97K

No position

Will Kamala say "convicted felon" at debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.84K

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.62K

Yes position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.41K

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35K

Yes position

Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.27K

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.16K

Cubs position

Brewers vs. Cubs

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08K

No position

Will Kamala say "border" 5 or more times at debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?

No 88% 4,655.84 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

No 97% 4,334.66 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 83% 10,000 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?

No 81% 1,000.19 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 41% 217 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

No 96.5% 473.99 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 99% 2,983.24 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Yes 91% 3,595.65 shares
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 78% 800 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 80% 3,259.02 shares
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 78% 133.12 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Yes 71% 4,935.66 shares