Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.4
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $79.6
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Polymarket Trader
0x4731...6036
0x473129a558f076486b2644668560b60200316036
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $2.56
- Realized PnL
- $557.25
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $2.16
- Potential payout
- $2.17
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.31
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.92
Up position
XRP Up or Down - July 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETDown 5% 40 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETDown 5% 40 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETUp 92% 2.17 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETUp 2% 100 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETDown 76% 2.63 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETDown 38% 6.18 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETDown 59% 48.34 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETUp 79.7% 7.88 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETUp 36% 24.44 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETUp 47% 27.4 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETUp 51% 5.82 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETDown 22.7% 33.78 shares