Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $2.21
- Potential payout
- $17.65
- Potential profit
- $15.44
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.79
Polymarket Trader
aotemandao
0x473473c8999aac7afd68730936c20c04da50930b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.21
- Realized PnL
- $29.63
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.09
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.44
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 10, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.53
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.39
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 8 be between 1,800,000 and 1,900,000?
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.33
No position
Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Multiplier
- 18.52x
- User PnL
- $1.69
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.8%
- Multiplier
- 3.05x
- User PnL
- $0.81
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will $MARU reach $900M in Q1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Dogecoin above $0.15 on January 8?
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Bikinis back on X by January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
EU debt downgrade before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Yes position
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
Yes position
Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 34% 17.65 shares
- Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?Yes 19% 3.84 shares
- Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?Yes 30% 1.19 shares
- Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 0.4% 90.9 shares
- Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 1.1% 34.63 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 25% 4.34 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes 1.6% 50 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes 0.1% 535.71 shares
- EU debt downgrade before 2027?Yes 15% 3.7 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 84% 1.16 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 15% 6.66 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 86% 1.29 shares