Yes position
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
0x4734CF8aBFA7Ad6Cf3cD6B6e12130946B4a60979-1764692036152
0x4734cf8abfa7ad6cf3cd6b6e12130946b4a60979
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.14K
- Realized PnL
- $2.37K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $7.65
- Potential payout
- $5.1K
- Potential profit
- $5.09K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$7.65
Yes position
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $14.4
- Potential payout
- $3.2K
- Potential profit
- $3.19K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$14.4
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $13
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.76
- Potential payout
- $1.51K
- Potential profit
- $1.51K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.78
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $31.8
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $10.2
Yes position
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$59.59
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $13.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $986.5
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $15.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $984.5
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $14.85
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $885.15
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $2.25
Yes position
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $822.5
- Potential profit
- $822.5
- User PnL
- -$6.58
Yes position
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the June meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $600.74
- Potential payout
- $760.43
- Potential profit
- $159.69
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $159.52
Yes position
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $545.47
- Potential profit
- $545.2
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$89.03
Yes position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$19.28
Yes position
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the December meeting?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $380.43
- Potential profit
- $380.43
- User PnL
- -$104.72
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.2%
- Current value
- $89.39
- Potential payout
- $355.43
- Potential profit
- $266.04
- Multiplier
- 3.98x
- User PnL
- $67.76
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $131.89
- Potential payout
- $351.7
- Potential profit
- $219.81
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $53
Y
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Ends Oct 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $59
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $141.01
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $25
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $151.49
- Potential profit
- $151.49
- User PnL
- -$5.85
No position
Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the June meeting?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $127.87
- Potential payout
- $128.64
- Potential profit
- $0.77
- User PnL
- $14.24
Yes position
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $127
- Potential profit
- $127
- User PnL
- -$5.33
Yes position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $12.88
- Potential payout
- $112
- Potential profit
- $99.12
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $1.68
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil lower the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $79
- Potential profit
- $79
- User PnL
- -$12.64
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$10.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the April meeting?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
Yes position
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $530.22
Yes position
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $239.96
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.42
Yes position
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the January meeting?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.81
Yes position
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the March meeting?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.34
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $43.7
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $29.37
No position
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the June meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $27.56
No position
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the June meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $24.34
No position
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.02
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.98
Yes position
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $7.23
No position
Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the May meeting?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1
Yes position
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.06
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the December meeting?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.48
Yes position
Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.58
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 10% 112 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes 17% 200.01 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 24.1% 355.43 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 0.6% 496.27 shares
- Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
- Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the July meeting?No 88.5% 32.04 shares
- Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the June meeting?Yes 74.6% 52.45 shares
- Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the June meeting?Yes 71.8% 84.63 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 50% 44 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 13% 410 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 19% 8.79 shares
- Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the June meeting?No 85.3% 91.62 shares