Yes position
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $34.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.97K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $4.5
Polymarket Trader
0x473cf7CC2aBF1E78033F13c647dE1Fc341040F94-1771088258313
0x473cf7cc2abf1e78033f13c647de1fc341040f94
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $650.91
- Realized PnL
- $400.17
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $52.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $947.5
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.6%
- Current value
- $47.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $452.25
- Multiplier
- 10.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $417.02
- Potential payout
- $482.1
- Potential profit
- $65.08
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $13.69
Yes position
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $75
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $25
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $27
Yes position
Will ground beef hit $8 per pound in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $24.14
- Potential payout
- $46.88
- Potential profit
- $22.74
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$9.61
Yes position
Will Red–Green Alliance be part of the next Government of Denmark?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.14
- Potential profit
- $44.14
- User PnL
- -$10
Knicks position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.41
- Potential profit
- $12.41
- User PnL
- -$6.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.77
- Potential profit
- $8.77
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.94
- Potential profit
- $7.94
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.35
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- $89.43
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.49
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.94
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.14
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.95
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.34
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.39
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.86
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.42
Yes position
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $7.29
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.69
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $6.56
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.51
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.33
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.63
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.44
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.47
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.32
No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.18
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 82% 82.1 shares
- Will ground beef hit $8 per pound in 2026?Yes 72% 46.88 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 80% 120 shares
- Spurs vs. KnicksKnicks 54% 12.41 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 81% 15 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 84% 535 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETUp 97% 25.77 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETDown 66% 7.58 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 4.9% 1,000 shares
- Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 1% 3,000 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETUp 57% 8.77 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETUp 63% 7.94 shares