Polymarket Trader

0x474A92C5d4f62833E181065752C800590d24e17a-1782849360954

0x474a92c5d4f62833e181065752c800590d24e17a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.45
Realized PnL: -$1.94
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $520.16
Potential profit: $519.12
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $52,000 on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.17
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.78
Potential profit: $117.78
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.97
Potential profit: $100.97
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.92
Potential profit: $87.92
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.5
Potential profit: $37.5
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Bad Bunny have a #1 hit in the US in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $34.05
Potential profit: $34.03
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will Waymo operate in 7 cities on June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $30.3
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $14.71
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.22
Potential payout: $2.22
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Up 90% 2.22 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Up 54% 3.7 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Up 8% 62.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Up 20% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Up 9% 166.66 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Up 6% 166.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Up 6% 125 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Up 8% 62.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Up 8% 62.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Up 25% 20 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Up 99% 7.86 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Up 63.6% 7.86 shares