Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $734.63
- Potential payout
- $4.9K
- Potential profit
- $4.16K
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$142.95
Polymarket Trader
leobmw
0x474d9474e1beec2c3e1b5deb7e2cc6cc1b4812ed
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $892.93
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $147
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$203
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $11.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $188.7
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$30.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 16?Up 31% 5 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes 18% 4,500 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 7.4% 12,179.62 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes 12% 100 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes 17% 100 shares
- US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?No 99.4% 1,000 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 60% 400 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 63% 200 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 58% 100 shares
- Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No 12.8% 102.22 shares
- Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No 14.7% 629.29 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes 3.3% 400 shares