Polymarket Trader

0x4760E2f427455fC52be34b1f5209F88B8ffb91cD-1767532871251

0x4760e2f427455fc52be34b1f5209f88b8ffb91cd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $488.29
Realized PnL: $987.76
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

No position

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $206.89
Potential payout: $272.22
Potential profit: $65.33
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $26.89

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $236.82
Potential profit: $236.82
User PnL: -$180

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $213.12
Potential payout: $215.16
Potential profit: $2.04
User PnL: $58.12

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $176.47
Potential profit: $176.47
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.63
Potential profit: $83.63
User PnL: -$50

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $44.83
Potential payout: $79.37
Potential profit: $34.53
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$5.17

Magic position

Pistons vs. Magic

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.13
Potential profit: $78.13
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.57
Potential profit: $65.57
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.52
Potential profit: $57.52
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.07
Potential profit: $56.07
User PnL: -$30

Spurs position

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.27
Potential profit: $54.27
User PnL: -$43

Yes position

Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.36
Potential profit: $36.36
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$10

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $30.3
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.32
Potential profit: $29.32
User PnL: -$19.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.05
Potential profit: $26.05
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.5
Potential profit: $25.5
User PnL: -$10

Khamzat Chimaev position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.39
Potential profit: $24.39
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $23.45
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $0.36
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $3.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.46
Potential profit: $23.46
User PnL: -$9.85

Yes position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.19

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.86

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.27

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.35

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $50.43

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.22

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.28

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.73

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.72

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.42

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.39

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.39

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.12

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.03

No position

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.02

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.48

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.84

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Yes 51.9% 19.27 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 68.9% 29.03 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 70.2% 28.49 shares
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?

No 79% 25.32 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

No 63% 79.37 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 89% 22.47 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?

No 99.1% 88.4 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 98.9% 162.21 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 81% 119.04 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 96.8% 103.25 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 81.4% 61.43 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 99.9% 14.49 shares