No position
Will Trump sue Trevor Noah by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Polymarket Trader
longtail-594
0x4771817371f2f49d3e7671a43cbb076f78be14ad
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $7.13
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Fed rate cut by June meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Bitcoin above $86,000 on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump sue Trevor Noah by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Fed rate cut by June meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Bitcoin above $86,000 on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
US military action against Iran before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Dillon Danis x Gorilla fight scheduled by next Friday?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Romanian Election?
Ends May 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will the Government shutdown end October 1-2?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Xi Jinping out before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Jony Ive out at OpenAI before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Trump announce withdrawal from Syria in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday?
Ends May 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?No 96.6% 18.01 shares
- Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?No 97.3% 17.41 shares
- Will Trump sue Trevor Noah by March 31?No 96% 16.94 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No 96.1% 16.26 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by January 31?No 97% 15.63 shares
- Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?No 98.5% 15.16 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end October 1-2?No 98% 14.93 shares
- Xi Jinping out before October?No 98.5% 14.63 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by August 31?No 97.8% 14.42 shares
- Jony Ive out at OpenAI before August?No 98.7% 14.09 shares
- Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before July?No 98.8% 13.92 shares
- Fed rate cut by June meeting?No 95.9% 13.74 shares