Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $2.05K
- Potential profit
- $2.05K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$73.72
Polymarket Trader
poliknomi
0x477d1ff1b2a3b61c67803e024b3c0140f81955a9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $306.85
- Realized PnL
- $2.03K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $66.22
- Potential payout
- $882.98
- Potential profit
- $816.75
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$229.83
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $68.51
- Potential payout
- $721.19
- Potential profit
- $652.67
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$137.08
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $455.14
- Potential profit
- $455.14
- User PnL
- -$205.84
Yes position
Will Amplitude (AMPL) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $385.25
- Potential profit
- $385.25
- User PnL
- -$39.17
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $375.99
- Potential profit
- $375.99
- User PnL
- -$175.91
Yes position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $315.99
- Potential profit
- $315.99
- User PnL
- -$127.35
No position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $268.66
- Potential profit
- $268.66
- User PnL
- -$109.32
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $99.91
- Potential payout
- $206
- Potential profit
- $106.09
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $9.19
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$42
No position
Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $186.62
- Potential profit
- $186.62
- User PnL
- -$13.02
Yes position
Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $169.8
- Potential profit
- $169.8
- User PnL
- -$11.89
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $155
- Potential profit
- $155
- User PnL
- -$23.25
No position
Will Aptiv (APTV) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $152.54
- Potential profit
- $152.54
- User PnL
- -$25.18
No position
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $149
- Potential profit
- $149
- User PnL
- -$66.76
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $145.23
- Potential profit
- $145.23
- User PnL
- -$91.24
No position
Will KKR (KKR) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135.99
- Potential profit
- $135.99
- User PnL
- -$21.3
No position
Will Dupont (DD) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135.32
- Potential profit
- $135.32
- User PnL
- -$11.32
Yes position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $112
- Potential profit
- $112
- User PnL
- -$18.53
No position
Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.86
- Potential profit
- $111.86
- User PnL
- -$15.15
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.85
- Potential profit
- $111.85
- User PnL
- -$54.37
Yes position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.76
- Potential profit
- $99.76
- User PnL
- -$23.19
No position
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $71.17
- Potential payout
- $95.54
- Potential profit
- $24.36
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $27.89
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $89.38
- Potential profit
- $89.38
- User PnL
- -$53.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $352.96
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $172.51
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: January
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.15
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.94
No position
Steam Awards Parlay
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.61
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.15
No position
DoorDash total orders above 940M in Q1?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.46
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $76.44
Yes position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.34
Yes position
Will Paramount Skydance (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.4
No position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.95
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $56.62
No position
Will Papa John's (PZZA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.87
Yes position
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $54.32
No position
Will Anheuser-Busch (BUD) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $52
No position
Brown University shooter arrested by December 19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.1
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 3?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48.09
Yes position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the announcement on December 22?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.44
Yes position
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.33
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $46.95
No position
US strike on Syria by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.15
Yes position
Will Pinterest (PINS) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.41
Yes position
Will ARC Raiders win Most Innovative Gameplay in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.09
No position
Will Shake Shack (SHAK) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 50% 31.97 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 40% 15 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 21% 35 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 21% 35 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 40% 25 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes 3.8% 40 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 39% 40 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 18% 59.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 17% 80 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes 3.7% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 17% 40 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 39% 80 shares