LegendaryBets

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $2.75
Potential payout: $423.42
Potential profit: $420.67
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$2.27

Yes position

Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $419.37
Potential profit: $419.16
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$55.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $382.51
Potential profit: $381.55
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$4.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 11.1%
Current value: $33.93
Potential payout: $305.66
Potential profit: $271.73
Multiplier: 9.01x
User PnL: $28.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.78
Potential payout: $254.13
Potential profit: $252.35
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $6.63
Potential payout: $250.21
Potential profit: $243.58
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $10.44
Potential payout: $243.4
Potential profit: $232.96
Multiplier: 23.31x
User PnL: $5.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $232.38
Potential profit: $232.26
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $6.89
Potential payout: $229.6
Potential profit: $222.71
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: $1.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on June 19?

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $6.85
Potential payout: $190.4
Potential profit: $183.55
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 8.4%
Current value: $15.93
Potential payout: $189.7
Potential profit: $173.77
Multiplier: 11.90x
User PnL: $10.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on June 19?

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $3.51
Potential payout: $184.81
Potential profit: $181.3
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: $0.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $4.95
Potential payout: $180.11
Potential profit: $175.16
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $2.42
Potential payout: $166.66
Potential profit: $164.24
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$2.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $7.79
Potential payout: $160.64
Potential profit: $152.85
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $4.32
Potential payout: $159.9
Potential profit: $155.58
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $2.59
Potential payout: $157.18
Potential profit: $154.59
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$2.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $16.07
Potential payout: $133.92
Potential profit: $117.85
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: $6.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $1.37
Potential payout: $130.36
Potential profit: $128.99
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$3.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 13.4%
Current value: $17.11
Potential payout: $128.19
Potential profit: $111.08
Multiplier: 7.49x
User PnL: $12.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $4.23
Potential payout: $114.23
Potential profit: $110
Multiplier: 27.03x
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $114.22
Potential profit: $114.17
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C or below on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $6.37
Potential payout: $103.56
Potential profit: $97.19
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: $1.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $1.86
Potential payout: $100.74
Potential profit: $98.88
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$3.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $712

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $654.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $546.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $486.91

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $468.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $446.78

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $446.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $425.56

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $420.41

Yes position

Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $412.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $403.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 8AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $396.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $385.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $367.75

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $361.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $339.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $337.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $332.06

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $328.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $320.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $309.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $299.61

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 8AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $293.82

Over position

Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $293

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $290.3

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $285.34

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $281.26

Yes position

Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-02-13?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $269.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $256.76

Under position

Spezia Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 2.5

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.53

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $249.23

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $247.12

FUT Esports position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $237.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $232.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $229.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.61

No position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.95

Down position

XRP Up or Down - February 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $196.92

Down position

Solana Up or Down - February 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195.11

Down position

Solana Up or Down - March 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.79

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET